How Former DP Is Slowly Getting Into Ruto's Trap, Creating Unforseen Division in The Opposition

Former deputy president Rigathi Gachagua has sparked fresh political debate after his allies claimed he is the strongest opposition candidate to challenge President William Ruto in the 2027 General Election.

The debate has revived memories of the famous “tyranny of numbers” politics that shaped Kenya’s 2013 elections.

During meetings in the United Kingdom, Gachagua’s supporters argued that the Mt Kenya region has nearly five million votes, giving him a strong advantage over other opposition leaders. 

Nyandarua Senator John Methu said the region’s voting strength makes Gachagua the most suitable person to lead the opposition coalition against Ruto.

However, the remarks have created tension within the opposition camp because several other leaders are also interested in the presidency. 

These include Kalonzo Musyoka, former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang'i, Justin Muturi and Eugene Wamalwa.

Gachagua has remained politically active despite facing impeachment challenges. He said President Ruto is “easy to beat” because he understands his political style and weaknesses after previously working closely with him during the 2022 elections.

Some opposition leaders have warned that internal competition could weaken their chances in 2027. Makueni Senator Dan Maanzo cautioned that a divided opposition may give Ruto an easier path to re-election.

Political analyst Herman Manyora believes Gachagua’s statements are mainly meant to increase his bargaining power before official coalition talks begin. 

Even so, political observers fear that personal interests and regional politics may make it difficult for the opposition to unite ahead of the next presidential election.