Makali Mulu Says Most MPs Unlikely to Survive 2027 as Voter Scrutiny Intensifies

Kitui Central MP Makali Mulu has cautioned fellow legislators that the road to re-election in 2027 will be unforgiving, warning that many incumbents are already facing likely defeat amid growing public dissatisfaction.

Mulu was reacting to recent remarks by National Assembly Speaker Moses Wetang’ula, who disclosed that more than half of sitting Members of Parliament are statistically expected to lose their seats at the next General Election.

Speaking during a television interview on Monday, February 2, 2026, Mulu argued that the Speaker’s assessment may have understated the scale of the looming political shake-up.

According to the MP, Kenya’s political environment has become increasingly competitive, with voters paying closer attention to performance rather than party loyalty or campaign promises.

“MPs know the reality they are facing. Kenyan voters are demanding results, and where expectations are not met, they do not hesitate to vote leaders out,” Mulu said.

Wetang’ula had earlier addressed lawmakers during the 2026 National Assembly Legislative Retreat, citing actuarial and pension data that point to an average attrition rate of about 56 per cent. 

The figures suggest that more than half of current MPs are unlikely to return to Parliament after the next election, continuing a long-standing trend in Kenyan politics.

The Speaker used the data to urge legislators to prioritise financial planning, warning that life after Parliament can be difficult for those who fail to prepare. 

He noted that many former MPs struggle with reduced incomes once they exit public office and emphasised the importance of consistent contributions to the parliamentary pension scheme.

While Wetang’ula focused on post-politics financial security, Mulu shifted the debate to political accountability, arguing that many MPs understand why re-election remains elusive: broken promises, weak engagement with constituents, and limited development outcomes.

Mulu said voters are now more informed and assertive, judging leaders strictly on delivery rather than rhetoric. 

With competitive party primaries, strong independent candidates and heightened civic awareness, incumbency alone no longer guarantees electoral survival.

“Election after election, we see sitting MPs voted out. That is the message: deliver, or be replaced,” he said.